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Conflict Iran · United States · Israel

US-Israel war with Iran

Major combat is paused, with no agreed ceasefire. Iran says it has sent Washington a response setting seven conditions and is awaiting a decision, while warning it would hit US bases in Europe if they are used for attacks. Trump vows 'total victory'.

Confidence: medium. Strike, drone and tanker claims are disputed between the US and Iran, there is no current verified casualty total, and reporting on the talks relies on Iranian officials and unnamed diplomats. · Updated 11 Nov 2026, 2pm ET

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Why it matters: Before the war, about 17.1 million barrels of oil a day moved through the Strait of Hormuz, the main export route for Gulf oil producers. source

What's happening

The war began on February 28, 2026, when the US and Israel launched strikes across Iran; Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, and the fighting spread around the Gulf and to Lebanon. A Pakistan-brokered ceasefire began on April 8, and a memorandum the two sides signed in June ended when Trump declared it over on July 8; fighting has resumed intermittently since September, including limited US strikes on Qeshm Island on November 2 that a US official said followed Iranian fire on a US aircraft. After Democrats won both chambers of Congress on November 3, a result Vice President JD Vance blamed on the war, Trump said he would decide 'very soon' on new strikes, and the US keeps a naval blockade of Iranian ports. A senior Iranian official says Tehran has sent Washington a nuclear proposal through Qatar, which Arab News reports depends on seven Iranian demands; Iran has also demanded the lifting of US sanctions, the release of frozen assets and war reparations. Bloomberg reported, citing a diplomat, that Tehran is considering nuclear proposals it had previously been unwilling to discuss, while a senior Iranian security official says Iran will no longer rely on written US commitments.

What changed recently

Key figures

23US military deaths connected to the Iran war (11 from enemy fire, 12 nonhostile)Pentagon Defense Casualty Analysis System, cited by Newsweek · 2026-10-29 · source
865US service members wounded by enemy fire since late FebruaryPentagon Defense Casualty Analysis System, cited by Newsweek · 2026-10-29 · source

What experts say

Their views, summarized in our words.

Sources