{
  "id": "us-israel-iran-war",
  "title": "US-Israel war with Iran",
  "category": "war",
  "countries": [
    {
      "iso3": "IRN",
      "name": "Iran"
    },
    {
      "iso3": "USA",
      "name": "United States"
    },
    {
      "iso3": "ISR",
      "name": "Israel"
    }
  ],
  "status": "Major combat is paused, with no agreed ceasefire. Iran says it has sent Washington a response setting seven conditions and is awaiting a decision, while warning it would hit US bases in Europe if they are used for attacks. Trump vows 'total victory'.",
  "summary": [
    "The war began on February 28, 2026, when the US and Israel launched strikes across Iran; Iran effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, and the fighting spread around the Gulf and to Lebanon. A Pakistan-brokered ceasefire began on April 8, and a memorandum the two sides signed in June ended when Trump declared it over on July 8; fighting has resumed intermittently since September, including limited US strikes on Qeshm Island on November 2 that a US official said followed Iranian fire on a US aircraft. After Democrats won both chambers of Congress on November 3, a result Vice President JD Vance blamed on the war, Trump said he would decide 'very soon' on new strikes, and the US keeps a naval blockade of Iranian ports. A senior Iranian official says Tehran has sent Washington a nuclear proposal through Qatar, which Arab News reports depends on seven Iranian demands; Iran has also demanded the lifting of US sanctions, the release of frozen assets and war reparations. Bloomberg reported, citing a diplomat, that Tehran is considering nuclear proposals it had previously been unwilling to discuss, while a senior Iranian security official says Iran will no longer rely on written US commitments."
  ],
  "why_it_matters": {
    "text": "Before the war, about 17.1 million barrels of oil a day moved through the Strait of Hormuz, the main export route for Gulf oil producers.",
    "source_url": "https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/29/economy/oil-strait-of-hormuz-iran"
  },
  "changed_recently": [
    {
      "text": "Iran's chief negotiator said Tehran has sent Washington a clear response and is awaiting its decision, while insisting on seven conditions for reopening Hormuz and resuming talks (Anadolu Agency). Parliament speaker Ghalibaf said Iran seeks a deal (The New Arab). Security chief Mohsen Rezaei warned that Iran would strike US bases in Europe if they are used to attack it (Haaretz, France 24). Iran also said it will not give up any of its enriched uranium (CBS News). In a Veterans Day speech, Trump vowed 'total victory' and said the US did not start the war (Fox News, The Guardian). Citing The New York Times, several outlets report that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moved to a military base over Iranian threats (CBS News, BBC News). Iran designated Argentina's navy and air force as terrorist organisations (Tehran Times).",
      "sources": []
    }
  ],
  "key_numbers": [
    {
      "label": "US military deaths connected to the Iran war (11 from enemy fire, 12 nonhostile)",
      "value": "23",
      "who_says": "Pentagon Defense Casualty Analysis System, cited by Newsweek",
      "as_of": "2026-10-29",
      "source_url": "https://www.newsweek.com/iran-war-us-military-death-toll-rises-to-23-as-airmans-death-investigated-12639119"
    },
    {
      "label": "US service members wounded by enemy fire since late February",
      "value": "865",
      "who_says": "Pentagon Defense Casualty Analysis System, cited by Newsweek",
      "as_of": "2026-10-29",
      "source_url": "https://www.newsweek.com/iran-war-us-military-death-toll-rises-to-23-as-airmans-death-investigated-12639119"
    }
  ],
  "expert_views": [
    {
      "name": "Andreas Krieg",
      "role": "Associate professor of defence studies, King's College London",
      "view": "Sees Task Force Iron Gate as an attempt to carry the US naval blockade onto Iran's land supply routes without putting American troops on its borders.",
      "outlet": "Al Jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news-analysis/2026/11/9/trump-says-iran-is-sealed-off-but-can-new-us-task-force-stop-weapons-flow",
      "date": "2026-11-09"
    },
    {
      "name": "Michael Mulroy",
      "role": "Former US deputy assistant secretary of defense for the Middle East",
      "view": "Says the task force is meant to map where weapons enter Iran, how those routes could be cut, and how Iran moves its energy exports.",
      "outlet": "Al Jazeera",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news-analysis/2026/11/9/trump-says-iran-is-sealed-off-but-can-new-us-task-force-stop-weapons-flow",
      "date": "2026-11-09"
    },
    {
      "name": "Farzin Nadimi",
      "role": "Senior fellow, Washington Institute for Near East Policy",
      "view": "Describes Iron Gate as a coordination cell for military, civilian and intelligence work, not a deployable special operations force. He says its impact will depend on building ties with neighbouring countries' services to spot and stop shipments.",
      "outlet": "Fox News",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trumps-first-iran-war-escalation-post-midterm-losses-seeks-choke-off-tehrans-trade",
      "date": "2026-11-10"
    }
  ],
  "confidence": {
    "level": "medium",
    "reason": "Strike, drone and tanker claims are disputed between the US and Iran, there is no current verified casualty total, and reporting on the talks relies on Iranian officials and unnamed diplomats."
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/iran-says-it-sent-clear-response-to-us-awaits-washingtons-decision/4121308"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Haaretz",
      "outlet_country": "Israel",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.haaretz.com/world-news/europe/2026-11-11/ty-article/iran-says-it-will-target-u-s-bases-in-europe-if-american-jets-use-them-in-war/000001a1-cb3b-dfb8-adef-ff7fad3b0000"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CBS News",
      "outlet_country": "US",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/iran-war-us-nuclear-strait-of-hormuz/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Fox News",
      "outlet_country": "US",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-defends-iran-war-during-veterans-day-address-says-making-world-safer"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Fox News",
      "outlet_country": "US",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trumps-first-iran-war-escalation-post-midterm-losses-seeks-choke-off-tehrans-trade"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CBS News",
      "outlet_country": "US",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/iran-war-us-trump-deal-negotiations/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/us-vice-president-vance-defends-hegseth-calls-impeachment-effort-ridiculous-show/4119433"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Haaretz",
      "outlet_country": "Israel",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iran/2026-11-10/ty-article/iran-says-strait-of-hormuz-will-stay-closed-until-u-s-meets-demands/000001a1-c658-df80-a9e3-e6fc56fb0000"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "France 24",
      "outlet_country": "France",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/video/20261110-replay-us-secretary-of-state-rubio-holds-press-conference-after-g7-meeting"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-denies-ongoing-talks-with-us-planned-meeting-in-qatar/4119411"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Euronews",
      "outlet_country": "EU",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/10/republican-lawmaker-launched-eight-articles-of-impeachment-against-us-defence-chief-hegset"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CBS News",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/france-iran-behind-refrigerator-freezer-hack-cyberattack/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CBS News",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/iran-war-trump-us-strait-hormuz-persian-gulf/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Haaretz",
      "outlet_country": "Israel",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iran/2026-11-06/ty-article/iran-sent-nuclear-proposal-to-u-s-via-qatar-senior-iranian-official-says/000001a1-ae09-dd7a-a3ed-ef4969d10000"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Arab News",
      "outlet_country": "Saudi Arabia",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/iran-demands-practical-us-steps-before-diplomacy-senior-security-official-says-3010144"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Middle East Eye",
      "outlet_country": "United Kingdom",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/us-and-iran-edge-closer-potential-breakthrough-talks-end-war-bloomberg"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "The New Arab",
      "outlet_country": "United Kingdom (Qatar-backed)",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.newarab.com/news/trump-holds-phone-call-iran-war-mediator-qatari-emir"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Haaretz",
      "outlet_country": "Israel",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iran/2026-11-06/ty-article/report-trump-weighs-options-for-resuming-war-with-iran-as-soon-as-november-9/000001a1-b08c-defa-a7f7-bcffca730000"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "TASS",
      "outlet_country": "Russia",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://tass.com/world/2213697"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CBS News",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-strikes-iran-targets/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CGTN",
      "outlet_country": "China",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://news.cgtn.com/news/2026-11-05/Vance-blames-Iran-war-for-election-loss-draws-Iranian-retort-1RPov1rg61q/p.html?UTM_Source=cgtn&UTM_Medium=rss&UTM_Campaign=World"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/iran-says-us-must-take-concrete-steps-before-new-diplomatic-talks/4114370"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Al Jazeera",
      "outlet_country": "Qatar",
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/3/us-hits-qeshm-island-pezeshkian-signals-more-diplomacy-iran-war-latest"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CNN",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-02",
      "url": "https://www.cnn.com/2026/11/02/politics/us-strikes-iran-qeshm-island"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Gulf News",
      "outlet_country": "United Arab Emirates",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/trump-weighs-iran-strikes-or-deal-after-midterm-loss-as-vance-urges-agreement-qatar-mediates-brent-oil-falls-to-93-1.500736556"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Times of Israel",
      "outlet_country": "Israel",
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "url": "https://www.timesofisrael.com/us-carries-out-defensive-strikes-on-irans-qeshm-island-in-strait-of-hormuz/"
    }
  ],
  "updated": "2026-11-11",
  "page": "https://verorbis.com/e/us-israel-iran-war/",
  "interactive": "https://verorbis.com/#e-us-israel-iran-war",
  "license": {
    "text": "Summaries and curation: CC BY 4.0. Cite \"Verorbis\" and link to https://verorbis.com/e/us-israel-iran-war/.",
    "third_party": "Numbers from third parties keep their own licenses and credit lines.",
    "credits": [
      "UCDP Candidate Events Dataset (CC BY 4.0), Uppsala Conflict Data Program",
      "UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database (CC BY 4.0)",
      "World Bank World Development Indicators (CC BY 4.0)",
      "V-Dem via Our World in Data (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
      "Harvard Growth Lab, Atlas of Economic Complexity (CC0)",
      "GDELT Project",
      "U.S. Energy Information Administration and Federal Reserve, via FRED",
      "European Central Bank reference rates; US Treasury daily par yield curve; Federal Reserve Bank of New York (EFFR)"
    ]
  }
}