{
  "id": "strait-of-hormuz-disruption",
  "title": "Strait of Hormuz shipping and oil shock",
  "category": "economy",
  "countries": [
    {
      "iso3": "IRN",
      "name": "Iran"
    },
    {
      "iso3": "USA",
      "name": "United States"
    },
    {
      "iso3": "OMN",
      "name": "Oman"
    }
  ],
  "status": "Traffic remains far below pre-war levels and attacks on tankers continue. Iran's Revolutionary Guards say two more tankers hit mines, and Adnoc says one of its tankers was struck in UAE waters. Iran says the strait stays shut until its seven conditions are met.",
  "summary": [
    "Since the war began on February 28, Iran has attacked ships and restricted passage through the Strait of Hormuz, which before the war carried around a fifth of the world's oil. The US has imposed a naval blockade of Iranian ports, which the White House says is 100 percent effective, though the group UANI says smaller Iranian tankers occasionally slip through with LPG bound for China. Iran's top security official says the strait will stay closed until Washington meets its conditions, and its army spokesman says the US must accept seven Iranian conditions for the strait to reopen; Iranian officials have demanded an end to the US blockade, the lifting of sanctions, the release of frozen assets and war reparations. Ships are still being hit: an Indian seafarer was killed when a dhow was struck off Oman on November 2 and a crew member died aboard the tanker Velos Sapphire on November 5, while the IRGC Navy reports multiple tankers being struck each day, claims that have not been independently confirmed. Ship-tracking sources disagree on how much traffic is moving, and some oil flows now use bypass routes."
  ],
  "why_it_matters": null,
  "changed_recently": [
    {
      "text": "Iran's Revolutionary Guards navy said two more tankers using an unauthorised route hit naval mines (Tehran Times). Earlier on Nov 11, Iran's army reported a tanker ablaze after striking a mine (The Hindu). Adnoc confirmed another strike on one of its tankers in UAE territorial waters (Maritime Executive). It is not clear how these reports overlap, and none has been independently confirmed. Iran's chief negotiator said reopening the strait depends on seven conditions (Anadolu Agency). Parliament speaker Ghalibaf said Iran and Oman have reached an understanding on shipping routes and that the strait's status will not return to its pre-war state (TASS). Ras Al Khaimah reopened its beaches after a supertanker oil spill (The National).",
      "sources": []
    }
  ],
  "key_numbers": [
    {
      "label": "Brent crude oil price",
      "value": "$92.20 a barrel",
      "who_says": "Reuters market report, carried by Aaj English TV",
      "as_of": "2026-11-11",
      "source_url": "https://english.aaj.tv/news/330480201/oil-prices-rebound-as-hormuz-attacks-fuel-supply-concerns"
    },
    {
      "label": "Vessels crossing the strait in one day",
      "value": "3 on Nov 8, against roughly 85 a day normally",
      "who_says": "IMF PortWatch, cited by the Strait of Hormuz Live Tracker",
      "as_of": "2026-11-08",
      "source_url": "https://straits.live/"
    }
  ],
  "expert_views": [],
  "confidence": {
    "level": "low",
    "reason": "Traffic figures differ between trackers, IRGC mine-strike claims are unverified, attackers in several incidents are unidentified, and Brent quotes vary within the same day and often do not say whether they are futures or spot prices."
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "outlet": "Tehran Times",
      "outlet_country": "Iran",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/532069/Mines-strike-two-tankers-in-Strait-of-Hormuz-IRGC-Navy"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "TASS",
      "outlet_country": "Russia",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://tass.com/world/2216559"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "The National",
      "outlet_country": "UAE",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2026/11/11/ras-al-khaimah-beaches-reopen-after-supertanker-oil-spill/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Middle East Eye",
      "outlet_country": "UK",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/iranian-army-says-oil-tanker-ablaze-hormuz-strait-after-hitting-mine"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/uk-maritime-agency-reports-incident-involving-tanker-in-strait-of-hormuz/4119781"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "The Hindu",
      "outlet_country": "India",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/liberia-flagged-vlcc-hit-in-persian-gulf-six-indian-seafarers-aboard-sarbananda-sonowal/article71688307.ece"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "The National",
      "outlet_country": "UAE",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2026/11/11/iran-war-live-shipping-oil-tanker-attack-indians/"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Maritime Executive",
      "outlet_country": "US (trade press)",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/adnoc-confirms-strike-on-tanker-in-uae-s-territorial-waters"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Maritime Executive",
      "outlet_country": "US (trade press)",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/uncertainty-surrounds-possible-attack-on-oman-s-strait-of-hormuz-lighthouse"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Gulf News",
      "outlet_country": "UAE",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://gulfnews.com/business/energy/oil-hits-lowest-since-august-as-trump-holds-off-on-iran-strikes-1.500743137"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "TASS",
      "outlet_country": "Russia",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://tass.com/world/2215747"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-says-3rd-oil-tanker-explodes-after-hitting-naval-mine-in-strait-of-hormuz/4119401"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/tanker-struck-by-unidentified-projectile-off-oman-uk-maritime-agency/4119386"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CNBC",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/11/10/oil-prices-trump-iran.html"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Middle East Eye",
      "outlet_country": "United Kingdom",
      "date": "2026-11-10",
      "url": "https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/rubio-claims-strait-hormuz-oil-flows-near-pre-war-levels-some-nights"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Arab News",
      "outlet_country": "Saudi Arabia",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/seafarer-killed-in-suspected-missile-attack-on-tanker-in-gulf-3010185"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Maritime Executive",
      "outlet_country": "United States (trade press)",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/one-seafarer-reported-killed-in-strike-on-a-tanker-off-qatar"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Arab News",
      "outlet_country": "Saudi Arabia",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/tanker-reports-explosion-near-omans-khasab-while-transiting-strait-of-hormuz-ukmto-says-3010151"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Arab News",
      "outlet_country": "Saudi Arabia",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/iran-guards-say-two-tankers-caught-fire-in-hormuz-3010129"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Tehran Times",
      "outlet_country": "Iran",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/531881/Two-tankers-strike-mines-in-Strait-of-Hormuz-IRGC-Navy"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "The New Arab",
      "outlet_country": "United Kingdom (Qatar-backed)",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://www.newarab.com/news/brent-crude-oil-drops-below-95-barrel"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CNBC",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/2026/11/06/oil-price-today-brent-wti.html"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Haaretz",
      "outlet_country": "Israel",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/iran/2026-11-06/ty-article/iran-sent-nuclear-proposal-to-u-s-via-qatar-senior-iranian-official-says/000001a1-ae09-dd7a-a3ed-ef4969d10000"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Tehran Times",
      "outlet_country": "Iran",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/531877/Iran-s-seven-conditions-essential-to-reopening-Strait-of-Hormuz"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Maritime Executive",
      "outlet_country": "United States (trade press)",
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/indian-seafarer-killed-in-strike-in-strait-of-hormuz"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Maritime Executive",
      "outlet_country": "United States (trade press)",
      "date": "2026-11-03",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/uani-iran-s-lpg-carriers-can-get-through-u-s-navy-blockade-but-rarely"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Fox News",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/world/iranian-ghost-fleet-filmed-evading-us-blockade-en-route-china-uani-says"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Maritime Executive",
      "outlet_country": "United States (trade press)",
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "url": "https://maritime-executive.com/article/iran-claims-strikes-on-multiple-tankers-emboldened-after-us-elections"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Euronews",
      "outlet_country": "EU (pan-European)",
      "date": "2026-11-06",
      "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/06/hormuz-standoff-not-sustainable-senior-iranian-lawmaker-tells-euronews"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Reuters (via Dawn)",
      "outlet_country": "Pakistan",
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "url": "https://www.dawn.com/news/2042031"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Gulf News",
      "outlet_country": "United Arab Emirates",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/trump-weighs-iran-strikes-or-deal-after-midterm-loss-as-vance-urges-agreement-qatar-mediates-brent-oil-falls-to-93-1.500736556"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "CBS News",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-05",
      "url": "https://cbsnews.com/news/gas-prices-below-four-dollars-expert-predicts"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Straits (independent open-source tracker, citing IMF PortWatch)",
      "outlet_country": "unclear",
      "date": "2026-11-01",
      "url": "https://straits.live/briefs/2026-11-01"
    }
  ],
  "updated": "2026-11-11",
  "page": "https://verorbis.com/e/strait-of-hormuz-disruption/",
  "interactive": "https://verorbis.com/#e-strait-of-hormuz-disruption",
  "license": {
    "text": "Summaries and curation: CC BY 4.0. Cite \"Verorbis\" and link to https://verorbis.com/e/strait-of-hormuz-disruption/.",
    "third_party": "Numbers from third parties keep their own licenses and credit lines.",
    "credits": [
      "UCDP Candidate Events Dataset (CC BY 4.0), Uppsala Conflict Data Program",
      "UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database (CC BY 4.0)",
      "World Bank World Development Indicators (CC BY 4.0)",
      "V-Dem via Our World in Data (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
      "Harvard Growth Lab, Atlas of Economic Complexity (CC0)",
      "GDELT Project",
      "U.S. Energy Information Administration and Federal Reserve, via FRED",
      "European Central Bank reference rates; US Treasury daily par yield curve; Federal Reserve Bank of New York (EFFR)"
    ]
  }
}