{
  "id": "cop31-climate-talks",
  "title": "COP31 climate talks in Antalya",
  "category": "policy",
  "countries": [
    {
      "iso3": "TUR",
      "name": "Türkiye"
    }
  ],
  "status": "The UN climate conference in Antalya runs to Nov 20, with Turkiye presiding and Australia chairing the negotiations. At the leaders' summit, which opened Nov 11 without the leaders of the US, China, India or France, Guterres called for a climate justice pact.",
  "summary": [
    "COP31 is the 31st annual UN climate conference, gathering representatives of more than 190 countries in Antalya, Turkiye, from 9 to 20 November 2026. Under an unusual compromise, Turkiye hosts and holds the presidency, led by environment minister Murat Kurum, while Australia's climate minister Chris Bowen runs the negotiations. The talks open as UN bodies say the world is on course to overshoot the Paris Agreement's 1.5C limit; UNEP's 2026 Emissions Gap Report, as cited by Anadolu, puts warming at about 2.6C this century even if current pledges are met. The main disputes are over money and fossil fuels. Developing countries want a clear path to the $300bn-a-year finance goal agreed at COP29 and more support for adaptation, while a move away from fossil fuels is not on the formal agenda after COP30 ended without agreement on it. The hosts are promoting a voluntary target for electricity to supply 35% of world energy demand by 2035. The United States is sending no official delegation after leaving the Paris Agreement."
  ],
  "why_it_matters": {
    "text": "Emerging and developing economies outside China, home to nearly two-thirds of the world's people, received only 18% of global clean-energy investment in 2025, the funding gap at the heart of the COP31 finance fight.",
    "source_url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168735"
  },
  "changed_recently": [
    {
      "text": "About 40 world leaders were due to address COP31 on Nov 11, according to Climate Home News. In his last climate summit speech as UN chief, Guterres called for a new climate justice pact. He also urged taxes on fossil fuel companies to help the hardest-hit countries (UN News, Health Policy Watch). France 24 reported that the leaders of the US, China and India are not attending, and Le Monde noted Macron's absence. Erdogan called the war in Gaza an 'ecocide' (Arab News). Iran's Pezeshkian sought compensation for environmental damage from US-Israeli strikes (Arab News). The Guardian reported criticism of Albanese for not mentioning fossil fuels. It also reported that the Marshall Islands president warned of catastrophic heating.",
      "sources": []
    }
  ],
  "key_numbers": [
    {
      "label": "Heads of state and government confirmed for COP31",
      "value": "91 (with delegations from 196 countries)",
      "who_says": "Murat Kurum, Turkiye's environment minister and COP31 president",
      "as_of": "2026-11-06",
      "source_url": "https://aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/explainer-cop31-in-turkiye-what-to-know-about-crucial-climate-summit/4113985"
    },
    {
      "label": "Climate finance developed countries agreed at COP29 to mobilise for developing nations",
      "value": "$300bn a year by 2035, within a wider $1.3tn goal",
      "who_says": "COP29 decision, as reported by Euronews",
      "as_of": "2026-11-09",
      "source_url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/09/we-will-not-lower-our-ambition-everything-you-need-to-know-on-day-one-of-the-cop31-climate"
    },
    {
      "label": "Electricity's share of world final energy consumption (hosts propose 35% by 2035)",
      "value": "about 23% at end of 2024",
      "who_says": "International Energy Agency, as reported by France 24",
      "as_of": "2024-12-31",
      "source_url": "https://www.france24.com/en/environment/20261109-cop31-betting-on-electricity-to-break-the-climate-deadlock"
    }
  ],
  "expert_views": [
    {
      "name": "Selwin Hart",
      "role": "UN Special Adviser on Climate Action and Just Transition",
      "view": "Argues that finance solutions for poorer countries must not add to their debt, and that overshooting 1.5C should push governments to move faster because the tools to act have never been better.",
      "outlet": "UN News",
      "url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168735",
      "date": "2026-11-04"
    },
    {
      "name": "Chris Bowen",
      "role": "Australia's climate change and energy minister, COP31 president of negotiations",
      "view": "Presents renewables as an energy-security answer, saying sunlight and wind cannot be sanctioned or blockaded.",
      "outlet": "France 24",
      "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/environment/20261109-cop31-betting-on-electricity-to-break-the-climate-deadlock",
      "date": "2026-11-09"
    }
  ],
  "confidence": {
    "level": "high",
    "reason": "Dates, the Turkiye-Australia split, the agenda and the US absence are confirmed by the UN, the host government and many outlets. What the talks will deliver, and how strong any electrification or fossil-fuel language will be, is still being negotiated, and attendance figures come from the host."
  },
  "sources": [
    {
      "outlet": "UN News",
      "outlet_country": "UN",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://news.un.org/feed/view/en/story/2026/11/1168783"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "France 24",
      "outlet_country": "France",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/cop31-talks-in-turkey-leeaders-from-us-china-and-india-skip-summit"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Arab News",
      "outlet_country": "Saudi Arabia",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/turkiyes-president-calls-the-war-in-gaza-an-ecocide-at-the-un-climate-summit-3011177"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "The Guardian",
      "outlet_country": "UK",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/nov/11/anthony-albanese-avoids-mention-of-fossil-fuels-in-cop-summit-speech"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "RFI English",
      "outlet_country": "France",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.rfi.fr/en/environment/20261111-world-leaders-begin-talks-at-cop31-climate-conference-but-big-names-missing"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Carbon Brief",
      "outlet_country": "UK",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-climate-finance-pledges-fall-70-as-countries-meet-at-cop31"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Arab News",
      "outlet_country": "Saudi Arabia",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/iran-president-in-turkiye-to-attend-un-climate-summit-3011135"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkey",
      "date": "2026-11-11",
      "url": "https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/cop31-leaders-summit-set-to-open-in-turkiye-with-electrification-in-focus/4119664"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "UN News",
      "outlet_country": "United Nations (New York)",
      "date": "2026-11-04",
      "url": "https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/11/1168735"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Euronews",
      "outlet_country": "France",
      "date": "2026-11-09",
      "url": "https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/09/we-will-not-lower-our-ambition-everything-you-need-to-know-on-day-one-of-the-cop31-climate"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Al Jazeera",
      "outlet_country": "Qatar",
      "date": "2026-11-09",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/9/turkiye-pushes-electrification-top-of-climate-agenda-as-cop31-set-to-open"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "France 24",
      "outlet_country": "France",
      "date": "2026-11-09",
      "url": "https://www.france24.com/en/environment/20261109-cop31-betting-on-electricity-to-break-the-climate-deadlock"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Anadolu Agency",
      "outlet_country": "Turkiye",
      "date": "2026-11-09",
      "url": "https://aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/cop31-climate-summit-opens-in-turkiye-amid-calls-for-stronger-action/4116474"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "NBC News",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-09",
      "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/cop31-turkey-climate-change-un-summit-cfr-global-warming-rcna608276"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "NPR",
      "outlet_country": "United States",
      "date": "2026-11-09",
      "url": "https://www.npr.org/2026/11/09/nx-s1-5996456/turkey-hosts-world-climate-summit-but-some-critics-accuse-it-of-greenwashing"
    },
    {
      "outlet": "Global Times",
      "outlet_country": "China",
      "date": "2026-10-21",
      "url": "https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202610/1372693.shtml"
    }
  ],
  "updated": "2026-11-11",
  "page": "https://verorbis.com/e/cop31-climate-talks/",
  "interactive": "https://verorbis.com/#e-cop31-climate-talks",
  "license": {
    "text": "Summaries and curation: CC BY 4.0. Cite \"Verorbis\" and link to https://verorbis.com/e/cop31-climate-talks/.",
    "third_party": "Numbers from third parties keep their own licenses and credit lines.",
    "credits": [
      "UCDP Candidate Events Dataset (CC BY 4.0), Uppsala Conflict Data Program",
      "UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database (CC BY 4.0)",
      "World Bank World Development Indicators (CC BY 4.0)",
      "V-Dem via Our World in Data (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
      "Harvard Growth Lab, Atlas of Economic Complexity (CC0)",
      "GDELT Project",
      "U.S. Energy Information Administration and Federal Reserve, via FRED",
      "European Central Bank reference rates; US Treasury daily par yield curve; Federal Reserve Bank of New York (EFFR)"
    ]
  }
}